ROI of Experimentation

ROI of Experimentation

August 22, 2025

How to drive adoption of AI in the enterprise

Thor Ernstsson

Co-founder

Executive Summary

Generative AI is everywhere, but measurable returns are not. Many enterprises have deployed copilots, spent millions on proofs of concept, and built large AI teams, yet few can point to production results that move the business. The reason is not lack of technical capability but lack of a systematic approach.

This whitepaper introduces ArcticBlue’s Experimentation Framework, a disciplined, repeatable process for testing where Generative AI creates value and when it doesn’t. Drawing on over a decade of experience and more than 20,000 experiments across Fortune 500 companies, we outline how structured experimentation helps leaders de-risk adoption, accelerate ROI, and embed a culture of evidence-based innovation.

Moving from tinkering to structured experimentation

Across industries, we hear the same refrains:

  • “We have Copilot, but haven’t seen much impact.”

  • “We’re being cautious and don’t see the advantage of being first.”

  • “We’ve spent millions on POCs, but nothing has reached production.”

  • “We have a thousand AI/ML engineers, but no operating results.”

These statements reflect two extremes--hesitant caution and reckless enthusiasm--but both stem from the same root cause: the absence of structured experimentation.

Tinkering with Generative AI is valuable for exploration, but it rarely produces outcomes. Experimentation is different: it starts with a hypothesis, tests against real data, evaluates with clear criteria, and iterates until the solution either proves value or fails fast.

AI experimentation: the prerequisite for adoption

Experimentation is not about showing what AI could do. It is about learning what AI should do inside your organization. The process is iterative: build something simple, test it with users or data, gather feedback, refine, and repeat.

The guiding principle is simple: the value of learning must exceed the cost of running the experiment. That makes experimentation the most resource-efficient way to determine where to invest in Generative AI—and where not to.

Prototyping as a learning engine

The first step is often a prototype: a lightweight version of an AI concept that is not production-ready but designed to reveal early signals.

At ArcticBlue, our prototypes are deliberately simple: focused on one function, trained on small curated datasets (with PII removed), and built with multiple model providers. The goal is not to perfect the interaction, but to test whether AI can outperform the current baseline.

Prototypes are not experiments in themselves, but they are the essential building blocks. They give teams a fast, low-cost way to test assumptions before committing larger resources.

Case Study: Helping healthcare agents resolve issues 45% faster

A U.S.-based healthcare company wanted to explore Generative AI’s potential to reduce contact center costs. The experiment followed our six-step methodology:

  1. Define the problem. Contact centers were the largest cost driver. The hypothesis: AI could reduce handle time for inbound patient queries.

  2. Generate assumptions. Could AI predict the resolution of a call based on partial transcripts?

  3. Design the experiment. We ingested 30 transcripts (stripped of PII/PHI), cut them off at different points, and tested whether AI could still arrive at the correct resolution.

  4. Build and execute. Multiple models from OpenAI, Amazon, Cohere, and AI21 were tested side by side.

  5. Evaluate. OpenAI’s model achieved 85% accuracy using only 55% of the transcript. A bonus finding: the AI-generated scoring rubric provided 100% QA coverage, compared to just 3% before.

  6. Iterate. The company launched a refined POC, adding more patient context to push accuracy and speed further.

The experiment validated a high-value use case, delivered unexpected insights, and gave leadership confidence to move forward.

Experimentation as a new way of working

Running experiments is not just a methodology—it changes how organizations make decisions. Three principles guide success:

  1. Focus on the unexplored. Move beyond “retrofitting” existing tasks. Use experiments to test ideas where the value is uncertain, not already proven.

  2. Work cross-functionally. Engage business leaders, product owners, and frontline operators from the start. AI is too important to live only inside IT.

  3. Combine AI with human intelligence. AI can outperform tasks, but adoption depends on trust. Human-in-the-loop review remains critical for building confidence and surfacing hidden insights.

Embedding experimentation in your organization

Experimentation is not one-and-done, it is a capability. Organizations that succeed embed a continuous experimentation rhythm: every quarter, new hypotheses are tested, results are logged, and validated ideas move forward while others are retired.

2024 was the year of Generative AI hype. 2025 is the year of Generative AI performance. The enterprises that win will be those that move beyond promises and into proof: where every experiment either pays off directly or teaches the organization where not to invest.

Conclusion

Generative AI has reached the point where technology is no longer the barrier. The real challenge is organizational: aligning investments with outcomes. Structured experimentation is the bridge. It turns exploration into evidence, reduces risk for cautious leaders, and maximizes ROI for those already invested.

At ArcticBlue, we have helped more than 75 Fortune 500 companies embed experimentation as a core capability. The result is not just faster AI adoption, it is smarter adoption, grounded in proof and scaled with confidence.

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